Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1196.114440 1354.419946 1528.942701 1736.138216 1976.083023 2245.999259 2573.722535
2025-11-02 971.522343 1187.424468 1447.211125 1785.120675 2216.359132 2752.730139 3477.295320
2025-11-09 842.037765 1082.479210 1389.198351 1813.749929 2393.375926 3167.541450 4297.568840
2025-11-16 748.575193 1001.732045 1340.127220 1832.778947 2543.824055 3551.858138 5123.691697
2025-11-23 677.855536 938.489747 1301.052320 1852.401942 2687.778121 3936.297144 6002.321455
2025-11-30 625.351606 892.338230 1277.187401 1885.884213 2849.909560 4362.643504 7009.096944
2025-12-07 560.501573 820.084837 1205.521052 1835.631355 2871.813953 4567.222602 7680.293608
2025-12-14 505.696630 756.665180 1139.367961 1784.018113 2881.152653 4746.868058 8330.826572
2025-12-21 456.910599 697.510702 1073.282140 1723.624549 2865.641547 4877.770398 8908.596675
2025-12-28 439.110450 685.272363 1080.009050 1784.037406 3064.440377 5412.609640 10347.637981
2026-01-04 416.793180 663.407769 1068.362038 1810.556559 3204.257194 5856.268445 11684.449527
2026-01-11 394.068386 638.707537 1049.294328 1821.066751 3314.286868 6256.182375 13002.411459
2026-01-18 372.272055 614.353747 1029.606400 1830.206326 3426.746447 6685.697878 14493.962265
2026-01-25 358.617020 602.999291 1031.832557 1880.909762 3629.069925 7334.867649 16643.329254
2026-02-01 343.262340 587.191650 1024.291162 1911.366964 3793.095159 7926.602175 18787.832626
2026-02-08 327.887006 569.992544 1012.443389 1931.569974 3937.435081 8496.665441 21011.389227
2026-02-15 313.900599 554.165920 1001.639631 1952.408561 4085.477344 9099.015211 23470.042646
2026-02-22 302.756562 542.739042 998.179482 1987.969157 4271.266679 9823.555549 26462.345958
2026-03-01 282.621305 512.604408 955.406846 1934.599067 4242.661076 10005.987183 27892.408362
2026-03-08 264.042899 484.200509 913.880338 1879.797402 4203.682355 10155.521975 29261.010867
2026-03-15 246.019167 455.701083 870.054097 1815.690418 4134.212441 10213.761910 30355.474900
2026-03-22 241.803921 454.404208 882.116932 1879.817884 4394.251547 11218.916947 34910.905674
2026-03-29 234.419116 446.144423 878.867260 1907.973578 4565.893438 12006.753586 38956.227815